How Might the Church Respond?
“The sons of Isachaar, men who understood the times and knew what the people should do…”
~1 Chronicles 12:32
The world has changed.
The world has been changing.
The world will continue to change.
The speed of change is alarming. It is difficult to keep pace with the number and type of world-changing events. And the implications of the events take time to comprehend. Such is the nature of the speed of change.
But while we may be forgiven for thinking these axis-changing events have suddenly come upon us, it would be more helpful to see current events as the culmination of gradual shifts. But, realistically, it is unlikely that we are at the culmination of societal change. More likely, we have only reached a particular phase.
I am not a pessimist. But I believe we are in a moment in which the need for clarity, wisdom, and discernment is crucial.
A few years ago, I wrote an article explaining the term VUCA [1]. Briefly, VUCA is an anacronym from the words: Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous. This model was developed by military strategists to help scenario plan their options depending upon the conditions they may find themselves in. Gradually, the understanding and application of the term VUCA was adopted by other sectors and has become a standard topic in strategy courses of many business schools [2].
Even if we have not come across VUCA before now, it is very likely we can resonate with the sense of unease these terms represent across our social, economic, political, technological, legal, and environmental contexts.
In a recent gathering with friends, our conversation turned to the rapidly changing nature of our world and I explained the principles of VUCA. The concept was grasped quickly and, for some, the clarity of the definitions brought a level of comfort. Even this little bit of definition on current events was able to cut through the feelings of overwhelm and anxiety that had been expressed by several in the room.
Yet, change is continuing.
The speed of change is increasing.
Levels of change are deepening.
Some strategists now say the VUCA model is obsolete. These proponents offer another grid through which the evolving complexities can be more accurately interpreted. Jamais Cascio [3] identified the term BANI: Brittle, Anxious, Nonlinear, Incomprehensible.
In the current macroenvironment, this model seems a more apt description.
Brittle: Systems are brittle. Structures that once provided context and framing for societal development are no longer as strong. For example, the breakdown of the rule of law, and transatlantic alliances of trade and cooperation between international partners, now appear brittle.
Anxious: With increasing change, comes the emotional response of helplessness, confusion, fatigue, and fear. The ensuing anxiety is evident across society.
Non-linear: The linear ways of thinking no longer apply across the board. The law of cause and effect is not as predictable as it once was. The effects are not always proportionate to the cause. A minor issue may have dramatic consequences. The ‘sudden’, dramatic change that is merely the culmination of multiple, gradual tweaks.
Incomprehensible: In the BANI model, all the changes lead to a prevailing sense of overwhelm, in which one is unable to comprehend the mountains of information or grasp the implications of multiple occurrences within the ever-fluid environment of the pervading relativism. The layers of complexity are staggering.
VUCA and BANI are models that social scientists use to help articulate the seismic changes in societal norms and values. They are grids to help us translate the circumstances affecting society and the times in which we live. As such, these models can be helpful to provide clarity. When we can identify a problem, we can work toward creating a solution.
A key problem is the deterioration of shared understanding in society. We once held a common understanding of the relationships between cause and effect, fact and opinion, reality and fiction; but we no longer have the luxury of this shared societal objectivity. Two elder statesmen within the Church have referred to this deterioration of shared values, norms, and systems as a ‘great unravelling’ [4].
But is it correct for us to presume that society must continue in this unravelling of ideals and principles?
What role might the Church play in reshaping societal systems?
None of the challenges of our time are a surprise to God. The current situation in our world does not change the nature or character of God.
As Christians we are God’s representatives on the earth. We have the privilege of reminding all people what Jesus taught, while demonstrating the lifestyle Jesus modelled. (It should not need to be stated that we should always seek the heart and mind of the Father, so we may accurately reflect Him to those around us.)
By doing so, we have an opportunity to provide an alternative to the volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity of our time. We are a people who can help strengthen brittle systems, bring peace to anxiety-laden minds, clarity to the non-linear, along with grace and truth to what appears incomprehensible.
Jesus did not promise a life without challenges, problems, or difficulties. But he invited us to follow him and he promised that he would always be with us.
This article was written by Sean Copeland.
[1] I used the above-mentioned article when setting out the rationale for the Tearfund Ireland strategy refresh of 2022.
[2] Bennis, Nanus, 1987
[3] https://medium.com/@cascio/facing-the-age-of-chaos-b00687b1f51d (accessed 29 Jan 2026)
[4] Roy Searle, Alan J. Roxburgh. Forming Communities of Hope in the Great Unravelling. Oregan: Cascade Books; 2025
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